Lowly Skilled, Highly Unemployed
In industrialized countries, the burden of unemployment rests most heavily on the shoulders of low-skilled workers. Consider: In 2006, the unemployment rate in the OECD was 10 percent for workers with only basic education compared to five percent for workers with upper secondary education and four percent with tertiary education. What explains this gap?
Daniel Oesch (U Geneva) looked at data from 21 affluent countries over the period of 1991 and 2006. He tested out four possible explanations to explain why unemployment disproportionately affects low-skilled workers:
- high minimum wages and wage inequality;
- unemployment benefits, labour market policies, and employment protection legislation;
- international trade and labour migration; and
- monetary policies.
Oesch found no evidence that low-skilled unemployment is fostered by high minimum wages, strict employment protection, high wage inequality, or lower exposure to international trade. In short, there is simply no need to deregulate the labour market. This finding “throws serious doubt on the frequently echoed expectation that post-industrial economies can only achieve full employment if they open their wage structure downwards in order to create low-paid service jobs,” Oesch writes in the European Journal of Industrial Relations.
What did work? A combination of efficient job-placement services, adequate training programs, and strict job-search controls with a monetary policy that allows the economy to “exploit its growth potential” seems to lead to lower unemployment of the low-skilled.
“What explains high unemployment among low-skilled workers? Evidence from 21 OECD countries,” by Daniel Oesch; European Journal of Industrial Relations (16 (1) 39-55)

